Burst potential skill maps for ACCESS-S2 hindcasts
The maps below show the Symmetric Extremal
Dependence Index (SEDI) skill score for two combined hindcast dates (1st and 16th of the month) from
ACCESS-S2. The SEDI standard error accounts for autocorrelation in the 9 ACCESS-S2 hindcast members.
Here we show the prediction skill of ACCESS-S2 for a burst event to occur in the week or fortnight
periods. Average SEDI over northwest Australia, northeast Australia and southeast QLD are shown. More
information on the SEDI score is detailed in: Marshall et al. 2021, Journal of Southern
Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, https://doi.org/10.1071/ES210:01.