Burst potential skill maps for ACCESS-S2 hindcasts

The maps below show the Symmetric Extremal Dependence Index (SEDI) skill score for two combined hindcast dates (1st and 16th of the month) from ACCESS-S2. The SEDI standard error accounts for autocorrelation in the 9 ACCESS-S2 hindcast members. Here we show the prediction skill of ACCESS-S2 for a burst event to occur in the week or fortnight periods. Average SEDI over northwest Australia, northeast Australia and southeast QLD are shown. More information on the SEDI score is detailed in: Marshall et al. 2021, Journal of Southern Hemisphere Earth Systems Science, https://doi.org/10.1071/ES210:01.


Definition:  First start date month:  Start day:  Period: