Realtime Prototype Forecasts
The link to the forecast tool below is provided to the subscribers of the Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society to enable viewing of the experimental forecasts for the Antarctic stratospheric vortex and its downward coupling to the surface. The link is currently for the AMS members only and should not be provided to other users without consultation with the Bureau (Contact: ACCESS-S2 webmaster to obtain the password).
Operational seasonal climate forecasts for Australia can be publicly viewed via the link below.
NOTE: This page will not be supported long term.
Relevant References
- Lim, E.-P., H. H. Hendon, and D. W. J. Thompson, 2018: Seasonal evolution of stratosphere-troposphere coupling in the Southern Hemisphere and implications for the predictability of surface climate. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 123, 12,00212,016, doi:10.1029/2018JD029321
- Hendon, H. H., E. ‐P. Lim, and S. Abhik, 2020: Impact of Interannual Ozone Variations on the Downward Coupling of the 2002 Southern Hemisphere Stratospheric Warming. J. Geophys. Res. Atmos., 116, doi:10.1029/2020JD032952
- Lim, E.-P., and Coauthors, 2021: The 2019 Southern Hemisphere stratospheric polar vortex weakening and its impacts. Bull. Am. Meteorol. Soc., 102, E1150-1171, doi:10.1175/BAMS-D-20-0112.1
The products are EXPERIMENTAL ONLY and do NOT currently form part of the
Bureau's standard services in any way. Access to the products is made available for trial
purposes only and on the basis that users are fully aware that these products are being tested and that
users will not issue these products as real-time forecasts in any way. The forecast products are subject to
the Bureau's copyright and disclaimer.
The following conditions apply:
- Products are not official Bureau products, they are prototype products
- Products are only to be used for trial purposes to assess their usefulness and not as an ongoing service
- Products are not operationally supported, they may occasionally be unavailable for periods of up to 2 weeks e.g., due to system upgrades
- The look and feel of products may change at any stage without notice
- Products may be added and removed at any stage without notice